Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 75.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Brassard
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
55.5% (236)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
60.0% (5)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
56.5% (46)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thompson
Home
52.1% (211)
53.1% (128)
Away
49.6% (119)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Brassard
Thompson
P1
47.3%
59.0%
P2
56.6%
55.4%
P3
47.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%