Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Brassard
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Brassard
Bjugstad
Last 9: Brassard 2-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Brassard
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
4
Brassard
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
47.3% (806)
+1.2%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
55.0% (149)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
59.0% (39)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bjugstad
Home
51.7% (689)
55.4% (446)
Away
45.9% (687)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Brassard
Bjugstad
P1
48.1%
49.4%
P2
51.8%
48.1%
P3
45.9%
48.6%
OT
52.2%
61.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |