Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 71.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Brassard
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Brassard
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.4% (867)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
56.0% (25)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
40.7% (216)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bjugstad
Home
51.7% (143)
46.5% (480)
Away
48.3% (143)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Brassard
Bjugstad
P1
46.4%
48.7%
P2
50.6%
45.6%
P3
53.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |