Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 59.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Brassard
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Bjugstad
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Brassard
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Brassard
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
46.2% (340)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
58.0% (50)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brassard is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Brassard shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bjugstad
Home
53.7% (616)
49.4% (237)
Away
46.1% (609)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Brassard
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
46.4%
P2
50.9%
50.4%
P3
51.5%
45.6%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |