Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 68.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 96.9%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 88.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Brassard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Brassard
Gaustad
Last 9: Brassard 7-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
0
Brassard
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Brassard
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Brassard
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
57.7% (821)
-9.2%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
56.3% (16)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
52.3% (260)
-0.8%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Gaustad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gaustad
Home
51.7% (689)
58.9% (577)
Away
45.9% (687)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Brassard
Gaustad
P1
48.1%
53.1%
P2
51.8%
57.9%
P3
45.9%
57.8%
OT
52.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |