Derick Brassard vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 94.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 61.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 89.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Brassard
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
33
(55 meetings)
22
33
Brassard
Gaustad
Last 10: Brassard 1-9 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
18
3
Brassard
Gaustad
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
18
Brassard
Gaustad
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
12
Brassard
Gaustad
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.5%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
65.4% (188)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
54.8% (1,290)
-4.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gaustad
Home
50.6% (5,020)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Brassard
Gaustad
P1
49.0%
58.2%
P2
49.8%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
51.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |