Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 93.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 76.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 94.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Brassard
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Brassard
Stastny
Last 10: Brassard 9-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
0
Brassard
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
55.0% (1,136)
-9.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
57.5% (200)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
53.1% (64)
-3.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stastny
Home
45.4% (284)
58.5% (744)
Away
44.7% (333)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Brassard
Stastny
P1
51.2%
57.9%
P2
40.3%
54.9%
P3
43.2%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |