Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 72.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Brassard
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
57.5% (412)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
60.0% (65)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stastny
Home
51.7% (143)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.3% (143)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Brassard
Stastny
P1
46.4%
63.7%
P2
50.6%
57.3%
P3
53.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%