Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Kupari 53.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 80.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 50.6%
Neutral zone
Kupari 65.9%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Brassard
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Kupari
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Brassard
Kupari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Kupari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
53.6% (379)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
66.7% (6)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
72.2% (18)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kupari
Home
51.7% (143)
55.5% (245)
Away
48.3% (143)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Brassard
Kupari
P1
46.4%
58.8%
P2
50.6%
47.8%
P3
53.9%
57.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |