Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Pitlick 46.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 62.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Brassard
Pitlick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Brassard
Pitlick
Last 7: Brassard 4-3 Pitlick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Pitlick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Pitlick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Pitlick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pitlick
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
42.0% (188)
+6.7%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.6% (31)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
100.0% (3)
-49.7%
On penalty kill, Pitlick has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pitlick shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Pitlick is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pitlick
Home
50.6% (5,020)
43.4% (106)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
44.8% (116)
By Period
Brassard
Pitlick
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
40.2%
P3
48.4%
44.3%
OT
51.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Pitlick
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | OT | 01:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |