Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Pitlick 47.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 59.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Brassard
Pitlick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Brassard
Pitlick
Last 7: Brassard 4-3 Pitlick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Pitlick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Pitlick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Pitlick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pitlick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
40.9% (88)
+10.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
53.6% (28)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Pitlick has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pitlick shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Pitlick is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pitlick
Home
52.1% (211)
48.4% (62)
Away
49.6% (119)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Brassard
Pitlick
P1
47.3%
52.3%
P2
56.6%
39.1%
P3
47.8%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Pitlick
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | OT | 01:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Rem Pitlick |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |