Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.5%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Nash 49.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 65.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 51.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Brassard
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brassard
Nash
Last 9: Brassard 6-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Nash
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Brassard
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
50.7% (341)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
58.3% (24)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
24.0% (25)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Brassard is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Brassard shoots left. Nash is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nash
Home
50.9% (666)
50.0% (200)
Away
49.6% (680)
48.9% (190)
By Period
Brassard
Nash
P1
53.3%
47.1%
P2
47.5%
60.6%
P3
49.9%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |