Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 47-43 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 68.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 62.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Brassard
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
47
(90 meetings)
43
47
Brassard
Nash
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
18
12
Brassard
Nash
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
13
20
Brassard
Nash
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
12
15
Brassard
Nash
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.0% (249)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.9% (550)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nash
Home
50.6% (5,020)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Brassard
Nash
P1
49.0%
49.0%
P2
49.8%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
48.0%
OT
51.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |