Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.1%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 59.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Brassard
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Brassard
Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Brassard
Sheahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Brassard
Sheahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
50.7% (357)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
50.0% (8)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.2% (194)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Brassard
Sheahan
Home
52.1% (211)
44.8% (248)
Away
49.6% (119)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Brassard
Sheahan
P1
47.3%
46.2%
P2
56.6%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |