Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Koivu 52.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 61.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 85.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 84.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Brassard
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Brassard
Koivu
Last 8: Brassard 5-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Brassard
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
52.2% (805)
-7.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
59.9% (152)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
49.0% (239)
+1.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Brassard
Koivu
Home
45.4% (284)
54.0% (639)
Away
44.7% (333)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Brassard
Koivu
P1
51.2%
52.7%
P2
40.3%
50.4%
P3
43.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |