Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Koivu 51.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 72.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.0%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Brassard
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
20
(42 meetings)
22
20
Brassard
Koivu
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
11
5
Brassard
Koivu
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
10
Brassard
Koivu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
5
Brassard
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
51.9% (3,221)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
59.3% (437)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
48.0% (764)
+2.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Brassard
Koivu
Home
50.6% (5,020)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Brassard
Koivu
P1
49.0%
51.1%
P2
49.8%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
51.8%
OT
51.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |