Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Carrick 52.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 60.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 89.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 75.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Brassard
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Brassard
Carrick
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
3
Brassard
Carrick
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
61.3% (75)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
50.7% (430)
-0.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carrick
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Brassard
Carrick
P1
49.0%
51.8%
P2
49.8%
52.2%
P3
48.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |