Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 63.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 50.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Brassard
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brassard
Carrick
Last 5: Brassard 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.2% (307)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
66.7% (6)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
48.2% (56)
+1.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carrick
Home
51.7% (143)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.3% (143)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Brassard
Carrick
P1
46.4%
41.0%
P2
50.6%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |