Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Brassard
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Brassard
Gagner
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
5
Brassard
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
8
Brassard
Gagner
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
4
Brassard
Gagner
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.5% (928)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
35.0% (226)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gagner
Home
50.6% (5,020)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Brassard
Gagner
P1
49.0%
44.6%
P2
49.8%
46.1%
P3
48.4%
47.3%
OT
51.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |