Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Gagner 43.8% (+19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 80.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 65.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Brassard
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Brassard
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
31.0% (29)
+18.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
29.4% (17)
+24.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gagner
Home
51.7% (143)
36.8% (19)
Away
48.3% (143)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Brassard
Gagner
P1
46.4%
27.8%
P2
50.6%
15.4%
P3
53.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |