Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Gagner 44.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 75.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 55.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 66.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Brassard
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Brassard
Gagner
Last 6: Brassard 5-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
43.1% (758)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
50.3% (147)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
34.6% (26)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Brassard is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Brassard shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gagner
Home
47.9% (447)
47.4% (468)
Away
45.4% (441)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Brassard
Gagner
P1
48.7%
43.8%
P2
44.3%
43.8%
P3
47.2%
44.0%
OT
36.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2010 | OT | 01:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |