Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 58.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Brassard
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Brassard
Steel
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
2
Brassard
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Brassard
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
62.6% (179)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
37.4% (254)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Brassard
Steel
Home
50.6% (5,020)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Brassard
Steel
P1
49.0%
51.9%
P2
49.8%
49.5%
P3
48.4%
49.6%
OT
51.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |