Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Steel 48.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 59.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Brassard
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Brassard
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Brassard
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Brassard
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.5% (553)
+0.1%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
61.3% (31)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
30.6% (49)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Brassard
Steel
Home
51.7% (143)
46.4% (347)
Away
48.3% (143)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Brassard
Steel
P1
46.4%
52.1%
P2
50.6%
49.8%
P3
53.9%
45.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |