Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.8%). Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs Steel 52.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 57.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 50.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Brassard
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Brassard
Steel
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
1
Brassard
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Brassard
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
51.6% (401)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
66.7% (39)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.4% (9)
-4.4%
On power play, Steel has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Brassard shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Brassard
Steel
Home
52.6% (247)
55.8% (206)
Away
52.7% (188)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Brassard
Steel
P1
52.5%
57.0%
P2
56.6%
50.7%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |