Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Crosby 52.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 77.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 60.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Brassard
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Brassard
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Brassard
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
52.5% (1,443)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
54.7% (369)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
55.9% (34)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Brassard
Crosby
Home
51.7% (143)
53.0% (931)
Away
48.3% (143)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Brassard
Crosby
P1
46.4%
50.3%
P2
50.6%
55.4%
P3
53.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |