Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 81.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 85.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 72.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Brassard
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Brassard
Seguin
Last 9: Brassard 7-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (517)
53.9% (996)
-5.2%
Power Play
39.0% (59)
56.4% (94)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
52.1% (165)
+14.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brassard is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Brassard shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Brassard
Seguin
Home
50.9% (348)
55.9% (633)
Away
44.2% (240)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Brassard
Seguin
P1
48.0%
55.8%
P2
47.3%
51.7%
P3
48.9%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |