Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 64.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Brassard
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
56.5% (712)
-5.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
59.7% (67)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.9% (49)
+5.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Brassard
Seguin
Home
52.1% (211)
58.5% (402)
Away
49.6% (119)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Brassard
Seguin
P1
47.3%
58.4%
P2
56.6%
54.7%
P3
47.8%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%