Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Gourde 44.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Brassard
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Brassard
Gourde
Last 9: Brassard 5-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Brassard
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
40.9% (279)
+8.1%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
58.3% (60)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
36.0% (25)
+30.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gourde
Home
50.5% (543)
45.5% (189)
Away
47.7% (507)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Brassard
Gourde
P1
48.8%
42.4%
P2
49.0%
48.3%
P3
49.6%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |