Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.7%). Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 50.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Brassard
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Brassard
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.1% (847)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
79.5% (44)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
39.5% (81)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gourde
Home
51.7% (143)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.3% (143)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Brassard
Gourde
P1
46.4%
54.7%
P2
50.6%
45.0%
P3
53.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |