Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 54.7%
Defensive zone
Shore 60.6%
Neutral zone
Shore 59.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Shore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Shore
Spezza
Last 7: Shore 3-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Shore
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
3
1
Shore
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Shore
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
56.8% (1,726)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
52.7% (643)
-5.4%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Shore is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Shore shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Shore
Spezza
Home
46.7% (852)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.9% (758)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Shore
Spezza
P1
46.4%
55.7%
P2
47.6%
54.4%
P3
47.6%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |