Scouting Report
Devin Shore holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Shore wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 50.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Shore
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Shore
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Shore
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (167)
44.7% (1,053)
+5.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
36.8% (95)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
65.0% (20)
-5.0%
On power play, Shore has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Shore is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Shore shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Shore
MacKinnon
Home
56.0% (91)
49.4% (553)
Away
45.2% (84)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Shore
MacKinnon
P1
44.9%
45.3%
P2
54.9%
42.7%
P3
50.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |