Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Carrick 52.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 86.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.9%
Neutral zone
Shore 70.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Shore
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Shore
Carrick
Last 8: Shore 2-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Shore
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Shore
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Shore
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
52.1% (2,513)
-4.5%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
61.3% (75)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
50.7% (430)
-3.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Shore is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Shore shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Shore
Carrick
Home
46.7% (852)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
47.9% (758)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Shore
Carrick
P1
46.4%
51.8%
P2
47.6%
52.2%
P3
47.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |