Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Shore wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Hertl 54.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 61.7%
Defensive zone
Shore 62.7%
Neutral zone
Shore 63.0%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Shore
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Shore
Hertl
Last 10: Shore 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Shore
Hertl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
53.6% (8,077)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
59.7% (1,916)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
46.0% (793)
+1.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Shore is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Shore shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,755).
Home / Away
Shore
Hertl
Home
46.7% (852)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
47.9% (758)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Shore
Hertl
P1
46.4%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
47.6%
55.1%
OT
75.0%
46.8%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Devin Shore |