Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 47.4%). Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dube wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 48.3% vs Rodrigues 47.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 61.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Dube
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dube
Rodrigues
Last 5: Dube 1-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Dube
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
3
Dube
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (171)
47.2% (318)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
52.4% (42)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
42.3% (26)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Dube is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Dube shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Dube
Rodrigues
Home
48.9% (88)
49.8% (215)
Away
46.2% (106)
44.4% (171)
By Period
Dube
Rodrigues
P1
44.9%
44.2%
P2
44.7%
53.5%
P3
55.1%
44.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |