Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Geekie 48.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dube 55.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 64.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.3%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Dube
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dube
Geekie
Last 7: Dube 3-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dube
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Dube
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
48.7% (2,289)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
45.9% (183)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
45.7% (129)
-2.3%
On power play, Dube has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Dube
Geekie
Home
47.8% (186)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
45.8% (216)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Dube
Geekie
P1
44.5%
48.4%
P2
44.7%
48.9%
P3
53.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |