Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dube wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 48.3% vs Geekie 52.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dube 60.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 63.0%
Neutral zone
Dube 55.0%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Dube
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dube
Geekie
Last 7: Dube 3-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dube
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Dube
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (171)
53.2% (615)
-5.2%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
44.4% (36)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.4% (18)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dube is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Dube shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Dube
Geekie
Home
48.9% (88)
55.0% (331)
Away
46.2% (106)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Dube
Geekie
P1
44.9%
53.9%
P2
44.7%
56.0%
P3
55.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |