Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dube 52.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.7%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Dube
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dube
Johansen
Last 5: Dube 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Dube
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
53.1% (11,017)
-7.2%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
56.2% (2,163)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
50.5% (978)
-7.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Dube
Johansen
Home
47.8% (186)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.8% (216)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Dube
Johansen
P1
44.5%
53.2%
P2
44.7%
53.9%
P3
53.6%
52.8%
Final 5 min
43.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |