Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Dube wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 48.3% vs Johansen 52.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Dube 53.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Dube
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (171)
49.4% (1,010)
-1.4%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
62.3% (236)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
67.2% (67)
-42.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dube is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Dube shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Dube
Johansen
Home
48.9% (88)
54.7% (655)
Away
46.2% (106)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Dube
Johansen
P1
44.9%
52.2%
P2
44.7%
50.7%
P3
55.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%