Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Downie 47.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Dube 51.7%
Defensive zone
Downie 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dube 51.5%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Dube
Downie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
48.1% (131)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
43.7% (71)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
0.0% (1)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Dube has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Dube
Downie
Home
47.8% (186)
49.5% (93)
Away
45.8% (216)
43.6% (110)
By Period
Dube
Downie
P1
44.5%
41.8%
P2
44.7%
38.6%
P3
53.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%