Scouting Report
Dmitri Voronkov holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Voronkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Hughes 36.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 52.9%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 72.5%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 76.5%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Voronkov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Voronkov
Hughes
Last 6: Voronkov 4-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Voronkov
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Voronkov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Voronkov
3
0
Voronkov
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (644)
36.0% (2,887)
+5.1%
Power Play
42.5% (120)
38.8% (224)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
31.0% (42)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, Voronkov has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Voronkov is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Voronkov shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Hughes
Home
40.8% (387)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
42.2% (384)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Voronkov
Hughes
P1
41.7%
36.9%
P2
41.7%
33.6%
P3
41.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |