Scouting Report
Dmitri Voronkov holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Voronkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Hughes 40.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.4%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 68.2%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 72.1%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Voronkov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Voronkov
Hughes
Last 6: Voronkov 4-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Voronkov
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Voronkov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Voronkov
3
0
Voronkov
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
35.6% (281)
+6.4%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
50.0% (36)
-8.1%
On power play, Hughes has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Voronkov shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Hughes
Home
40.1% (332)
38.4% (198)
Away
44.3% (325)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Voronkov
Hughes
P1
42.3%
44.3%
P2
43.6%
34.2%
P3
40.7%
34.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |