Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Voronkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 46.0% vs Staal 54.2% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 77.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Voronkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Voronkov
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
2
0
Voronkov
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Voronkov
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (63)
57.0% (1,017)
-17.3%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
57.7% (26)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.1% (286)
+4.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Voronkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Voronkov shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Staal
Home
45.8% (48)
54.3% (667)
Away
36.6% (41)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Voronkov
Staal
P1
43.5%
56.2%
P2
37.5%
57.0%
P3
44.1%
49.7%
Final 5 min
59.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |