Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Voronkov wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Hayes 47.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 82.6%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 63.6%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 72.5%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Voronkov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Voronkov
Hayes
Last 6: Voronkov 1-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Voronkov
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Voronkov
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (644)
47.5% (6,708)
-6.4%
Power Play
42.5% (120)
51.7% (702)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.3% (697)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Voronkov has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Voronkov is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Voronkov shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Hayes
Home
40.8% (387)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
42.2% (384)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Voronkov
Hayes
P1
41.7%
47.5%
P2
41.7%
47.6%
P3
41.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |