Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Voronkov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Hayes 56.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 75.8%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 65.4%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 75.0%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Voronkov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Voronkov
Hayes
Last 6: Voronkov 1-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Voronkov
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
4
Voronkov
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
56.6% (724)
-14.6%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
57.0% (79)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
65.7% (35)
-5.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Voronkov shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Hayes
Home
40.1% (332)
58.0% (405)
Away
44.3% (325)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Voronkov
Hayes
P1
42.3%
54.7%
P2
43.6%
55.7%
P3
40.7%
60.2%
Final 5 min
38.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
42.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |