Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 46.0% vs Poehling 50.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 79.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 86.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Voronkov
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Voronkov
Poehling
Last 6: Voronkov 3-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
1
0
Voronkov
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Voronkov
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Voronkov
2
0
Voronkov
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (63)
52.6% (622)
-12.9%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
58.3% (12)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.8% (103)
+10.2%
On even strength, Poehling has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Voronkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Voronkov shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Poehling
Home
45.8% (48)
53.2% (393)
Away
36.6% (41)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Voronkov
Poehling
P1
43.5%
50.9%
P2
37.5%
56.2%
P3
44.1%
46.1%
Final 5 min
59.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
40.0%
41.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |