Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — James shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs James 50.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 56.5%
Defensive zone
James 54.6%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 59.1%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Turcotte
James
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Turcotte
James
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
James
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
James
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
James
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
49.6% (270)
+3.9%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
80.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, James has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
James shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Turcotte
James
Home
53.2% (263)
47.4% (156)
Away
54.8% (208)
54.2% (120)
By Period
Turcotte
James
P1
57.0%
47.4%
P2
59.6%
53.3%
P3
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Dominic James |