Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.3%). Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
James 50.3% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
James 59.2%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 63.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 64.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
James
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
James
Ostapchuk
Last 6: James 1-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
James
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
James
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
James
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (270)
51.7% (300)
-2.1%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.6% (55)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, James has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
James shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
James
Ostapchuk
Home
47.4% (156)
49.1% (161)
Away
54.2% (120)
51.3% (197)
By Period
James
Ostapchuk
P1
47.4%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
45.7%
P3
50.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Dominic James |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |