Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 53.4% vs Larkin 49.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 75.2%
Neutral zone
Moore 78.2%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Moore
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Moore
Larkin
Last 6: Moore 4-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Moore
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
3
0
Moore
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (306)
48.5% (1,057)
+6.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
61.4% (140)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (51)
48.7% (117)
+2.3%
On power play, Moore has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Moore is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Moore shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Moore
Larkin
Home
51.1% (190)
51.4% (652)
Away
57.9% (171)
48.5% (662)
By Period
Moore
Larkin
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
53.4%
52.0%
P3
58.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |