Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Larkin 52.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.4%
Defensive zone
Moore 71.6%
Neutral zone
Moore 52.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Moore
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Moore
Larkin
Last 10: Moore 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
4
Moore
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
4
0
Moore
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
51.7% (9,019)
+4.1%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
58.5% (2,125)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
50.2% (1,122)
-1.5%
On even strength, Moore has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Moore
Larkin
Home
55.3% (2,409)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Moore
Larkin
P1
53.7%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
53.1%
P3
55.3%
52.1%
OT
69.4%
58.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2017 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |