Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.8%). Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.7% vs Spezza 54.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.6%
Defensive zone
Moore 92.6%
Neutral zone
Moore 67.6%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Moore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Moore
Spezza
Last 8: Moore 6-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
4
0
Moore
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moore
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (618)
53.2% (763)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
60.9% (197)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
57.1% (21)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moore is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Moore shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Moore
Spezza
Home
57.1% (394)
57.5% (518)
Away
53.7% (467)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Moore
Spezza
P1
53.5%
55.4%
P2
57.6%
54.1%
P3
54.7%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |